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Nicaragua—The Inside Track on the #1 Beach Project

Written on September 25, 2009 – 2:31 am by International Living

By Ronan McMahon
For International Living

Eight months ago I recommended a pre-construction opportunity on Nicaragua’s south Pacific coast to members of Real Estate Trend Alert. To some, this may have seemed like a brave move. I was sticking my neck out on a deal in Nicaragua. The world was gripped by recession. Surely real estate in Nicaragua was the last thing on anyone’s mind!

I had my reasons…the fact that Nicaragua has drifted off the radar was one of them. Mostly I was attracted by incredible values in the #1 project on one of the world’s most beautiful coasts. Today, as the units I recommended near completion, I believe that buyers did well. Really well, in fact.

Today, you can still buy half-acre ocean view lots for less than $50,000 and condos for less than $300,000.

You cannot ignore the intrinsic value of Nicaragua’s south Pacific coast. It is special. Unique. Here, you’ll find rocky outcrops, world-class surf, and some of the most jaw-dropping views in the world. The coast is more awesome than Northern Costa Rica directly to the south…or southern California, a four-hour flight to the north. Yet prices are a fraction of what they are in Northern Costa Rica…let alone California.

This was a market that rightly had my attention. Caution however was required. Recession in the U.S. has caused the real estate markets in Nicaragua to stall. This means that there are deals to be done. It also means however that we need to be extra wary when considering pre-construction or buying in a project. If a developer doesn’t sell as much as he expected will he run out of money…and take your investment with it? Buying in the right project is key.

Following this analysis, the recommendation became easy. Rancho Santana is a “stunning” (to quote Forbes magazine) 3,000-acre Pacific seaside ranch: five distinct beaches…amenities…security…title insurance. It’s a 10-year-old project. Set in its ways. And financially solid. The investors themselves have built their own homes there. I know because I’ve stayed in them. Investors and homeowners here include International Living’s Founding Publisher Bill Bonner and most of Agora’s (International Living’s parent company) Executive Committee.

I had the inside track on their commitment to Rancho Santana and the construction of these condos. Irrespective of the market they would move forward. They would use their own funds, not borrowed money. Every detail and touch would be to the highest standard. This came straight from the top. No one was going to cut corners.

There is no project along this coast that can compare with Rancho Santana. It’s there, it’s real and it’s buzzing. When you drive around this property it’s hard to believe you can buy anything here for less than $1 million. The homes here are awesome. Yet you can buy stunning half-acre ocean view lots for less than $50,000…and condos for less than $300,000. A mere eight months since I wrote to members of Real Estate Trend Alert about this opportunity the folks at Rancho Santana are preparing for the grand opening of the first two condo buildings. This is the view owners will have:

View at Rancho Santana, Nicaragua

View at Rancho Santana, Nicaragua

Construction has been ahead of schedule. The first units will complete in November. Twelve of the 24 units were sold pre-completion. The remaining 12 will be sold as fully finished units. Construction quality is top class. See for yourself.

Construction at Rancho Santana, Nicaragua

Construction at Rancho Santana, Nicaragua

Only the mega wealthy have a retirement or second home like this in Northern Costa Rica or California. With half-acre ocean view lots for less than $50,000 and condos for less than $300,000 this lifestyle is within your grasp.

Only this coast is nicer.

This is my favorite place in Central America to spend time. It’s special…you should see for yourself.

Irish Village Life

Written on September 22, 2009 – 6:25 am by International Living

By Len Galvin
For International Living

Read the original article published by International Living here.

An Irish vintage show is like a village fete, but with lots of restored cars and farm machinery from 50 to 100 years ago on display, too.

We got there early so our 2-year-old, Patrick, could bounce around the giant inflatable castles without getting trampled on by the older kids. But all he wanted to do was sit on a 1960s Massey Ferguson tractor and pretend he was driving around the field.

The Irish countryside is a good place to raise a family. Patrick knows that the best place to find blackberries isn’t in a plastic container in the store, but in the hedgerows along the lanes where we live. (And this time of year, he has the purple mouth and hands to prove it.) He’s known…and spoiled…by every neighbor within a square mile. When he’s older, he’ll go to the (free) village school which has a top-notch curriculum and a high teacher-to-student ratio.

Within a couple of miles of the village, there are dozens of thatched cottages, some built a hundred years ago. Two castles nearby overlook the River Suir—one from the 1600s, the other much older, both with cannonball damage.

When I lost the key to my car door, I didn’t bother getting a new one—I never lock it anyway. And I rarely lock the house.

The soul of Ireland is still pretty much what it always was. But if you’ve visited in the past 10 years, you may not have found the Ireland you were expecting, particularly when it comes to costs.

The land of saints and scholars became the land of credit and commerce during the past decade. Ireland—Dublin in particular—regularly appeared in the top spot of the “most expensive” lists.

Big price drops this year mean that Irish hotels are now the cheapest in Western Europe…and there’s very little in it between Ireland and the cheapest in the whole of Europe (the Czech Republic).

But the most significant evidence of lowering prices in Ireland came from a note Ronan McMahon sent me about the first Irish real estate listing to get his attention in four years:

“This property includes 14 houses, a 10,000-square-foot country mansion, 47 acres, exclusive fishing rights, a gatehouse and outbuildings….all for 1 million euro ($1.5 million).

“The 14 houses alone were valued at 7 million euro two years ago.

“This is prime bloodstock country. Two years ago one of the ‘horsey set’ would have snapped up the 47 acres for 1 million euro just to raise horses.

“The country mansion has intrinsic value. The outbuildings have future value: You would be able to get permission to build where there has been a structure in the past. Without these buildings this might be impossible. Permissions are in place and the foundations have been laid for an extension to the main house. The plan was to convert it to a hotel. For a fishing enthusiast the fishing rights are priceless!

“This would be perfect as a location for a facility to use for retreats, rehab…helping people who have been eating too much or eating too little. Maybe a corporate HQ, training courses or old folks home. Endless possibilities.

“There will be opportunities in Ireland for the brave and cash-rich. Expect the floodgates to start opening from October.”

P.S. These days, Ronan has his eye on “distress deals,” prime real estate trading at a huge discount because of the cash flow problems of major developers. If you get his Real Estate Trend Alert service, you’re already benefiting from Ronan’s research in this area. To get your own RETA subscription, go here.

The Best Crisis Investment I’ve Seen

Written on September 21, 2009 – 2:28 am by International Living

By Ronan McMahon

Read the original article published by International Living here.

In the 1990s and the first half of this decade there was a roaring party going on in the UK’s cities and large towns. It was called “buy to let”. This basically means rentals. The term was misleading. For the last few years of the boom (at least), letting didn’t come into it.

Here’s how it worked. Brownfield sites are development lots in prime urban areas that have historically had some kind of industrial use. Docklands or linen mills, for example, in Northern England. A developer would get planning permission (permits) to build shiny new condos on a brownfield site.

Once the party had started, credit was flowing freely. All the developer had to do to get the cash to build was to show his pre-sales to a bank. Banks would compete for the business once the pre-sales were in place. They wouldn’t do any due diligence on the buyer’s capacity to complete the contract. They didn’t care. Their boss from head office had told them they need to lend twice as much this year as the previous year.

The developer would pitch these condos to investors. Investors could get in with as little as 5% down and nothing due until completion. On completion, 80%-85% (or more in many cases) finance would be available. Thing is: Investors could get 80%-85% of the “value” of the condo. Annual prices were rising well into double digits. On completion investors could flip or just get a mortgage for more than they paid for their unit and pocket the difference. Low transaction costs in the UK helped facilitate this type of speculating.

The party was so good it attracted more and more revelers. More off-plan projects and more salesman ploys to ensure greed overruled good sense. Then, in the middle of this decade something happened. Supply outpaced demand, UK interest rates rose and banks tightened their lending policies. The UK is a diverse market so this happened at different times in different parts of the UK. The party was over before the current financial and economic crisis hit. The crisis made sure that the last few stragglers were shown the door.

Developers have been left with unsold units and banks looking to recoup what they can. There are deals to be done. There is an extremely active rental market in many of the UK’s cities and towns. Today, we can go back to playing the “buy to let” game. Our friends from the party have a hangover and won’t be showing their faces for some time. You need to be careful however and always follow my three golden rules of crisis investing:

1. Buy quality (location, construction, amenities and fit-out)

2. Don’t take on any construction risk…buy completed units

3. Don’t take on any project risk…make sure the condominium is functioning

This is why I like deals like “Project X,” a deal I shared recently with members of Real Estate Trend Alert. The building is located in a prime location in the UK’s second city…the units are complete…the construction is high-end…and the condo is functioning. We don’t need to speculate about how good the construction quality will be—it’s there, it’s real.

The rental market and yields in this area today are strong. Buying at a 52% discount gets you gross yields pushing double digits with the strong prospect of capital appreciation. Your neighbor will most likely have paid twice what you pay. He bought pre-construction three years ago. With only 11 units still available there isn’t a risk that the building will lie empty or become run down. Prices start at £65,000 ($107,000).

If this is something that interests you, join Real Estate Trend Alert now and get all the details.

Why International Real Estate Needs to Be in Your Portfolio Now

Written on September 18, 2009 – 7:14 am by International Living

Here’s the recording Ronan McMahon’s welcome presentation at International Living’s International Real Estate Investment Forum, held in Fortaleza, Brazil, in June 2009.

Ronan explains some of the reasons why Fortaleza, Brazil, is one of the hottest international real estate investment spots in the world right now. Then, he tells us why international real estate is a must in any investor’s portfolio.

Listen to Ronan’s presentation here.

The Discounts You Should Be Getting in Panama

Written on September 18, 2009 – 6:58 am by International Living

By Ronan McMahon

I’m writing to you en route to International Living’s Live and Invest Panama Conference.

I haven’t been to Panama in four months. I’m looking forward to studying what’s happening on the ground. Where next for this market and is there an opportunity for us? The key question: What will be the impact of all the new supply coming on the market in the next two years? As you know, there has been a huge construction boom.

Read the full article here.

3 Ways to Buy in Brazil

Written on September 18, 2009 – 6:46 am by International Living

By Ronan McMahon

Many of you are fearful about the medium term prospects for the dollar. This is one of the reasons investing in real estate in Brazil is so attractive. Real estate here is denominated in the Brazilian currency—the real. Brazil has energy, food, manufacturing, water and a young middle class population. Exactly what an emerging economy needs.

The real/dollar exchange rate has fluctuated wildly in the past couple of years. Exchange rate fluctuations have a direct impact on your investment.

The units I have recommended and have purchased myself will be perfect for short-term rental. They will generate real-denominated income. I like the idea of a future real-denominated income stream.

Today, we need to consider how we mange payments during the construction period. To remind you: A typical condo purchase in Brazil involves monthly payments of 1% during a three-year build period. Once you take possession of your unit you typically have the option (although this can vary from deal to deal) to continue to pay 1% per month plus interest on the outstanding balance.

What options do we have that will hedge this exchange rate exposure? Let’s assume the unit you are buying costs 200,000 reais ($106,000 at today’s exchange rate).

The real isn’t forward traded so you can’t hedge using a standard forward contract. We need to be more creative.

Read the full article here.

The First Irish Property to Get my Attention in 4 Years…

Written on September 18, 2009 – 6:40 am by International Living

By Ronan McMahon

Ireland is in deep trouble. The banking system has failed and is in a limbo of government guarantees while politicians argue about where to put 100 billion euro or so in real estate loans. Borrowings increase every day just to pay teachers, police and nurses. Unemployment in absolute terms is higher than at any point in history while the unemployment rate is fast approaching the 17% and 18% last seen in the late ‘80s.

One of the biggest property booms every seen has spectacularly unraveled with disastrous consequences for the country. Since 2002 Ireland had become an economy that depended on the Irish selling houses to each other. Then, just as the domestic bubble was popping, global credit and financial crises came along. This is a perfect storm of domestic and international problems.

It’s pretty much impossible to value real estate right now in Ireland as there is no market. There have been very few fire sales. Developers and banks are waiting for the “bad bank” to be established so it can deal with the problems. A fire sale by any bank or developer would reveal the horrific state of developers’ and banks’ balance sheets. The government, banks and developers want the taxpayers to overpay (through the bad bank) for these bad loans. They want to kick the problem another decade down the line.

Against this backdrop it would take one hell of a deal to get me interested. I recently found one in an Irish newspaper.

Read the full article here.

The Upside of the Downturn in Property Markets

Written on September 18, 2009 – 6:33 am by International Living

By Ronan McMahon

Distressed or crisis opportunities in some European markets are one of the hottest plays on my radar today. This is an opportunity we have because of the current economic crisis. I’m talking deals with discounts of 52% on list prices or 40% on official valuations. Deals in blue chip locations that will immediately throw off positive cash flow. Deals in locations that will be the first to recover once market sentiment changes. Deals where up to 100% financing may be available.

Real the full article here.

Some Useful Investment Tools That Cost Nothing

Written on September 18, 2009 – 6:22 am by International Living

By Ronan McMahon

“Ronan, I’m looking for opportunities that throw off a strong rental yield. Different countries have different buying, selling, property and income taxes. How can I compare…?”

This is one of the questions I get asked most frequently when I meet Real Estate Trend Alert members in person. True, things can be confusing. But the answer is straight forward: You run the numbers.

Last year on one of our scouting trips to Fortaleza (having visited a project perfect for short-term rental) bedlam broke out on the bus. We were all trying to calculate a projected yield on the back of an envelope or in our heads. We could only settle the matter and analyze the scenarios by running the numbers.

Read the full article here.